Ananke AlphaNVIDIA Corporation
| 5 days | -8.8% |
| 1 month | -19.0% |
| 3 months | -14.2% |
| Year to date | +0.1% |
| 52-wk range | 164.27 – 243.37 |
| From 52-wk high | -23.3% |
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NVIDIA Corporation operates as a data center scale AI infrastructure company in the United States, Taiwan, China, Hong Kong, Europe, and internationally. It operates through Compute & Networking, and Graphics segments.
| Market cap | 4.51T |
| P/E trailing · fwd | 23.60 · 11.73 |
| Revenue growth yoy | 105.90% |
| Beta | 2.25 |
| Short % of float | 1.30% |
| Float | 23.13B |
| Avg volume | 117.34M |
| Dividend yield | 0.54% |
| Next earnings | 2026-11-17 |
| Street consensus (not ours) | strong_buy · tgt 327.14 |
| Employees | 42,000 |
P/E = price ÷ last year's earnings per share. Beta = how much this moves when the market moves 1%. Short interest = share of tradable stock sold short.
Between 30 and 70 is the normal zone: recent gains and losses are roughly balanced, so this indicator says nothing unusual right now.
The 50-day average (219.81) is the typical price over the last ~10 weeks. Price below it means the medium-term trend is down: recent buyers are, on average, underwater.
The 200-day average (204.67) is the typical price over the last ~10 months, the most-watched long-term trend line. Below it = long-term trend is down; rallies tend to meet selling near this line.
Price is -23.3% from the 52-week high and +13.6% above the 52-week low. Mid-range for the year.
On an ordinary day this moves about 8.02 from high to low. A day that moves 2–3× this is unusual and usually has a specific cause (earnings, news, a forced flow).
More than 2 standard deviations below its 20-day average: statistically stretched. Prices this far from the mean usually drift back toward it, though "usually" is not "always".
How much the price has actually been moving, annualized. 48% means roughly ±3.0% on a typical day. Volatility is steady versus the last three months.
Heavy volume: many more shares changed hands than usual, so today's move had real participation behind it.
A call is the right to buy, a put the right to sell, at a set price by a set date. What people pay for them reveals how much movement the market expects. Figures use the expiry nearest 30 days. New to this? Option Volatility, Plainly walks through every number here.
The options market's own forecast of how much this will move, annualized. It is set by what people pay for options: higher prices = higher expected movement. 56% means the market expects moves of roughly ±3.6% on a typical day.
The one-standard-deviation range the options market is pricing: about a 68% chance the stock is between $155 and $218 at that expiry, about a 32% chance it is outside. This is a price, not a prediction; the market is often wrong, in both directions.
Options are priced about in line with how much the stock has actually been moving. Neither cheap nor expensive by this measure.
Open interest = contracts currently held. More calls than puts are held: positioning leans bullish or speculative.
The strikes where the most contracts sit. Dealers who sold those options hedge around them, which tends to slow price down near these levels ("call wall" above, "put wall" below). Not a ceiling or floor, just where hedging friction concentrates.
Downside protection costs noticeably more than upside bets: the market is paying up to hedge a drop.
| resistance | 209.33 | +12.2% |
| resistance | 201.68 | +8.1% |
| resistance | 190.52 | +2.1% |
| now | 186.64 |
A level is a price where trading repeatedly stalled or reversed. Below the current price = support (buyers showed up there before); above = resistance (sellers showed up there before). Found by grouping recent swing highs and lows within 1.5%. Reference points, not predictions.
| 2026-11-13 · 5d | 61.1% |
| 2026-12-11 · 33d | 56.4% |
| 2027-01-15 · 68d | 50.0% |
| 2027-02-19 · 103d | 47.4% |
How expected movement changes with horizon. A near-term number well above later ones usually means a known event (earnings, a launch, a ruling) sits inside that window.
Take the 5-day option's variance (61% IV) and subtract the everyday variance implied by the 103-day option (47% IV). What is left is the one-off jump the market is charging for inside that window, i.e. the 2026-11-17 earnings report: a one-standard-deviation move of about ±4.5% (±$8.42).
Today's 30-day implied vol (56.4%) is higher than 75% of the sessions we have logged (range 40.9%–45.8%). Middle of its recent range: nothing unusual. Only 15 sessions logged so far; treat this as a sketch until there are ~30.
How today's gap between what options charge (56% IV) and what the stock actually moved (48% realized) compares with the logged sessions. High = options have rarely been this expensive relative to real movement; low = rarely this cheap.
Skew = how much more a 5%-below put costs than a 5%-above call, in vol points (today +4.1). A high percentile means downside protection is unusually dear right now; a low one means upside bets are unusually dear.
| No. 018 | The Float Compression Ledger |
| No. 005 | The Gamma Anchor |
Prices, company facts and options quotes come from public market-data feeds and may be delayed; every technical indicator and options statistic is computed by Ananke Alpha from the raw figures. Ananke Alpha is an independent research publisher, not a registered investment adviser or broker-dealer. Nothing here is personalized investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold NVDA or any option on it. Options involve substantial risk. Verify before acting. All notes →