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Ananke Alpha
NVDA — DESK · Fri, 06 Nov 2026 21:00 UTC
NVDA · NasdaqGS

NVIDIA Corporation

186.64
▲ 2.78% today
5 days-8.8%
1 month-19.0%
3 months-14.2%
Year to date+0.1%
52-wk range164.27 – 243.37
From 52-wk high-23.3%
Chart · underlyingOption chainspot 186.64 · 2027-01-15
CallsStrikePuts
BidAskLastIVVolOIBidAskLastIVVolOI
178.30185.20178.95349%219550.000.010.01256%59,119
173.30180.70206.00324%1216100.000.000.0150%100
168.30175.20200.37234%1187150.000.010.01175%2833,303
165.00170.25165.50286%12,994200.000.020.01163%1012,621
158.35165.25183.12194%1552250.000.020.01147%4518,120
153.35160.30175.00179%1448300.000.030.01138%402,956
148.40155.35181.70169%21,867350.010.030.01130%46,599
145.25149.60146.08188%2592400.010.050.06123%32,627
138.95144.70137.00140%31,034450.000.050.03113%47,227
134.20139.00137.35201%21,497500.010.080.05111%10612,435
130.60133.20132.10126%112,315550.050.140.06111%123,613
124.15129.85125.20123%112,253600.030.100.08100%716,141
119.20124.95124.47119%1679650.050.150.1197%36,153
115.50118.55117.37109%15,095700.110.200.1696%5513,360
109.50115.00114.90109%13,294750.160.190.1791%34910,133
106.10108.25107.79100%614,295800.200.240.2188%925,372
99.55105.30103.00100%21,431850.250.340.2585%5513,332
96.70100.2599.66111%27,501900.340.390.3382%727,784
90.1595.1595.0392%23,056950.400.490.3379%623,146
87.6588.5089.1592%1629,2721000.510.590.5276%1,400234,658
80.9585.0081.9585%13,1011050.640.750.5874%5017,580
77.5578.8078.5081%723,7741100.770.890.7671%35421,929
73.0074.0574.9279%625,8281150.951.090.9969%26419,319
68.3069.4569.5377%398,5691201.191.271.2467%1,63031,612
63.2564.9563.5573%96,5401251.461.581.3865%38420,498
59.1560.0060.8271%11213,6821301.791.921.7263%49427,105
54.7555.3555.1769%8218,1681352.202.362.1961%75118,837
50.2050.9550.8766%8410,8611402.692.892.8059%98727,018
45.8546.7046.7664%113,4361453.253.603.1958%26925,842
41.8542.4042.0762%21224,8091504.054.354.1756%7,316199,662
37.8038.3538.0261%1046,6841555.055.305.2055%1,15817,616
33.9034.4534.3159%58237,6221606.106.356.3554%7,38639,097
30.2530.7030.6057%2976,8011657.357.607.4052%83824,465
26.7027.2027.0056%46313,5721708.809.108.9451%4,44457,994
23.4023.8523.3055%27120,23117510.4510.8010.5950%1,55633,301
20.6520.7520.4954%2,52299,98718012.3512.6012.4549%4,94764,227
17.5517.8517.6552%2,35313,92918514.4514.7514.6048%2,81842,404
14.9515.3015.1651%8,47329,22419016.8517.1517.0047%8,13169,504
12.6012.9012.7050%2,64519,88719519.6019.9019.5746%2,72923,319
10.5010.7510.6049%8,160300,01920022.4022.8022.5245%5,10192,869
8.758.958.7548%9489,34120525.5526.0025.7544%62626,006
7.107.307.1547%7,92550,22521028.9529.4529.5443%1,45531,065
5.705.905.8347%1,91916,72821532.6533.2032.3243%25827,997
4.604.804.7046%11,23558,24022036.6037.1036.7142%39231,730
3.803.853.7046%10,82223,24222540.5541.2540.0041%25815,812
2.973.103.0045%5,88746,73523044.7545.6544.7041%23814,420
2.362.482.4045%98547,17023549.3549.9050.0040%506,585
1.881.981.9445%5,66452,88924053.8554.7553.9041%1558,620
1.491.591.5445%46816,61124558.5559.5057.5042%135,174
1.211.281.2745%7,79263,76925063.3064.2563.5342%83,175
0.951.050.9945%91618,80925567.8069.6072.0947%3866
0.770.850.8045%3,21652,53826072.7074.4567.8248%13,498
0.640.720.6846%18715,79726577.6579.4072.0349%1642
0.510.590.5446%27530,58427082.6583.9084.1145%40588
0.420.500.4646%2,63710,47127584.8591.7591.3370%2,183219
0.360.420.3947%24033,99228092.3595.2594.0962%2148
0.250.360.3247%10810,82928594.50101.7581.2074%80
0.270.300.2848%65341,12529099.50106.7585.1076%1840
0.210.320.2450%349,910295104.85111.7572.2578%28
0.200.210.2148%8,72471,812300110.20116.75115.0080%20
0.130.180.1750%1,30617,959310119.85126.7594.0084%10
0.100.180.1151%27914,695320129.85136.75110.1888%11
0.080.100.0951%23611,856330139.85146.75120.2091%10
0.070.080.0852%1,14474,8093400.000.00120.700%30
0.050.070.0653%17621,980350159.85166.75112.0098%20
0.030.050.0553%4811,8433600.000.00140.950%20
0.020.100.0257%435,1653700.000.00150.970%2600
0.020.040.0355%148,9293800.000.00158.120%150
0.020.030.0356%795,5163900.000.00222.050%10
0.020.040.0359%949,0674000.000.00174.170%50
0.010.130.0865%22,2244100.000.00187.400%10
0.010.030.0260%57212,2614200.000.00192.150%50
0.010.140.0169%322,653430——————
0.010.030.0263%32,679440——————
0.000.150.0272%214,707450——————
0.000.150.0173%109334550.000.00235.560%—0
0.010.060.0269%15840,8644600.000.00242.870%10
0.000.150.0675%142470——————
0.010.100.0275%5919,295480——————

Shaded cells are in the money (the option already has intrinsic value: calls below the stock price, puts above it). Bid/Ask = what buyers will pay / sellers will take, per share (×100 per contract). IV = implied volatility, the movement that option price assumes. Vol = contracts traded today; OI = contracts held open. The amber row is the strike nearest the stock price. IV colour compares each contract with the at-the-money IV of the same expiry: red = priced at least 15% richer than the at-the-money option, green = at least 12% cheaper. Hover an IV for its percentile against our own nightly log (15 sessions since 2026-10-16).

Headlines · NVDApublic news feeds · newest first · opens the source
Profile & key statsTechnology · Semiconductors

NVIDIA Corporation operates as a data center scale AI infrastructure company in the United States, Taiwan, China, Hong Kong, Europe, and internationally. It operates through Compute & Networking, and Graphics segments.

Market cap4.51T
P/E trailing · fwd23.60 · 11.73
Revenue growth yoy105.90%
Beta2.25
Short % of float1.30%
Float23.13B
Avg volume117.34M
Dividend yield0.54%
Next earnings2026-11-17
Street consensus (not ours)strong_buy · tgt 327.14
Employees42,000

P/E = price ÷ last year's earnings per share. Beta = how much this moves when the market moves 1%. Short interest = share of tradable stock sold short.

Technical readoutcomputed from raw daily bars
RSI (14-day)31

Between 30 and 70 is the normal zone: recent gains and losses are roughly balanced, so this indicator says nothing unusual right now.

vs. 50-day average-15.1%

The 50-day average (219.81) is the typical price over the last ~10 weeks. Price below it means the medium-term trend is down: recent buyers are, on average, underwater.

vs. 200-day average-8.8%

The 200-day average (204.67) is the typical price over the last ~10 months, the most-watched long-term trend line. Below it = long-term trend is down; rallies tend to meet selling near this line.

52-week range164.27 – 243.37

Price is -23.3% from the 52-week high and +13.6% above the 52-week low. Mid-range for the year.

Typical daily range (ATR-14)8.02 (4.3%)

On an ordinary day this moves about 8.02 from high to low. A day that moves 2–3× this is unusual and usually has a specific cause (earnings, news, a forced flow).

Stretch vs. 20-day mean-2.1σ

More than 2 standard deviations below its 20-day average: statistically stretched. Prices this far from the mean usually drift back toward it, though "usually" is not "always".

Realized volatility (20-day)48% (60-day: 40%)

How much the price has actually been moving, annualized. 48% means roughly ±3.0% on a typical day. Volatility is steady versus the last three months.

Volume vs. 20-day average1.59×

Heavy volume: many more shares changed hands than usual, so today's move had real participation behind it.

Options market2026-12-11 · 33d · spot 186.64

A call is the right to buy, a put the right to sell, at a set price by a set date. What people pay for them reveals how much movement the market expects. Figures use the expiry nearest 30 days. New to this? Option Volatility, Plainly walks through every number here.

Implied volatility (at-the-money, ~30d)56.4%

The options market's own forecast of how much this will move, annualized. It is set by what people pay for options: higher prices = higher expected movement. 56% means the market expects moves of roughly ±3.6% on a typical day.

Expected move by 2026-12-11±$31.78 (±17.0%)

The one-standard-deviation range the options market is pricing: about a 68% chance the stock is between $155 and $218 at that expiry, about a 32% chance it is outside. This is a price, not a prediction; the market is often wrong, in both directions.

Implied vs. realized (20-day)1.18×

Options are priced about in line with how much the stock has actually been moving. Neither cheap nor expensive by this measure.

Put/call open interest0.73 (8,194 puts / 11,206 calls)

Open interest = contracts currently held. More calls than puts are held: positioning leans bullish or speculative.

Largest open interestCalls: $220 (1,502) · Puts: $150 (900)

The strikes where the most contracts sit. Dealers who sold those options hedge around them, which tends to slow price down near these levels ("call wall" above, "put wall" below). Not a ceiling or floor, just where hedging friction concentrates.

Skew (5% OTM put − call IV)+4.1 pts

Downside protection costs noticeably more than upside bets: the market is paying up to hedge a drop.

Levels that have matteredlast 6 months
resistance209.33+12.2%
resistance201.68+8.1%
resistance190.52+2.1%
now186.64

A level is a price where trading repeatedly stalled or reversed. Below the current price = support (buyers showed up there before); above = resistance (sellers showed up there before). Found by grouping recent swing highs and lows within 1.5%. Reference points, not predictions.

Implied vol · term & historyat-the-money · logged since 2026-10-16
2026-11-13 · 5d61.1%
2026-12-11 · 33d56.4%
2027-01-15 · 68d50.0%
2027-02-19 · 103d47.4%

How expected movement changes with horizon. A near-term number well above later ones usually means a known event (earnings, a launch, a ruling) sits inside that window.

Event move priced into 2026-11-13±4.5%

Take the 5-day option's variance (61% IV) and subtract the everyday variance implied by the 103-day option (47% IV). What is left is the one-off jump the market is charging for inside that window, i.e. the 2026-11-17 earnings report: a one-standard-deviation move of about ±4.5% (±$8.42).

ATM IV vs. our 15-session log75th percentile

Today's 30-day implied vol (56.4%) is higher than 75% of the sessions we have logged (range 40.9%–45.8%). Middle of its recent range: nothing unusual. Only 15 sessions logged so far; treat this as a sketch until there are ~30.

Implied ÷ realized vs. log0th percentile

How today's gap between what options charge (56% IV) and what the stock actually moved (48% realized) compares with the logged sessions. High = options have rarely been this expensive relative to real movement; low = rarely this cheap.

Skew vs. log94th percentile

Skew = how much more a 5%-below put costs than a 5%-above call, in vol points (today +4.1). A high percentile means downside protection is unusually dear right now; a low one means upside bets are unusually dear.

Ananke notes · NVDA2 notes

Prices, company facts and options quotes come from public market-data feeds and may be delayed; every technical indicator and options statistic is computed by Ananke Alpha from the raw figures. Ananke Alpha is an independent research publisher, not a registered investment adviser or broker-dealer. Nothing here is personalized investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold NVDA or any option on it. Options involve substantial risk. Verify before acting. All notes →